Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 2.028558 2.123935 2.224797 2.340023 2.468813 2.609301 2.775498
2025-04-20 1.910765 2.043477 2.190634 2.368085 2.579406 2.827398 3.147653
2025-04-27 1.853951 2.013055 2.195716 2.425327 2.713244 3.073320 3.578593
2025-05-04 1.784818 1.958327 2.162425 2.426829 2.771585 3.225264 3.909179
2025-05-11 1.729007 1.913306 2.134490 2.428449 2.825136 3.372215 4.257306
2025-05-18 1.659218 1.846090 2.073282 2.380355 2.804485 3.409014 4.439929
2025-05-25 1.614991 1.807372 2.044551 2.371104 2.834077 3.519733 4.767066
2025-06-01 1.574023 1.770236 2.015041 2.357550 2.854551 3.616991 5.094376
2025-06-08 1.535598 1.734290 1.984735 2.340062 2.866399 3.700317 5.418285
2025-06-15 1.515175 1.720140 1.981799 2.359652 2.934468 3.885390 6.024345
2025-06-22 1.464127 1.664434 1.921001 2.293231 2.863558 3.818339 6.021472
2025-06-29 1.428953 1.628264 1.885036 2.260621 2.843407 3.840089 6.251439
2025-07-06 1.396437 1.595490 1.853642 2.234836 2.835162 3.888444 6.593417
2025-07-13 1.383764 1.588368 1.856806 2.259849 2.911705 4.111004 7.585043
2025-07-20 1.380881 1.593890 1.877280 2.311567 3.037951 4.461308 9.418689
2025-07-27 1.361886 1.576988 1.865478 2.312923 3.076598 4.633721 10.842908
2025-08-03 1.344110 1.561087 1.854323 2.314385 3.115221 4.815096 12.749098
2025-08-10 1.313592 1.526971 1.815982 2.270944 3.067533 4.779117 13.201424
2025-08-17 1.295189 1.508956 1.800154 2.262577 3.084704 4.909715 15.412749
2025-08-24 1.276580 1.490144 1.782505 2.250311 3.093287 5.020713 18.122552
2025-08-31 1.257842 1.470674 1.763257 2.234474 3.093563 5.110125 21.449550
2025-09-07 1.249641 1.465515 1.764607 2.252214 3.161168 5.408367 34.848362
2025-09-14 1.219929 1.429765 1.720017 2.192000 3.067691 5.208522 29.936767